本研究旨在探討學生教育抱負與學習成就之相互影響效果、學生教育抱 負與學習成就個別潛在成長變化,以及學生教育抱負與學習成就之潛在成長變 化的關係。本研究利用結構方程模式的長期追蹤交叉延宕模式與潛在成長曲線 模式,分析「臺灣教育長期追蹤資料庫」2001年、2003年、2005年及2007年追 蹤樣本學生(n = 1,651)的資料。研究結果發現,學生教育抱負與學習成就存 在相互影響效果。其次,學生教育抱負初始狀態與學生教育抱負成長速率呈顯 著正相關;學習成就初始狀態與學習成就成長速率也呈顯著正相關。再者,學 生教育抱負初始狀態對學習成就成長速率有顯著正向的影響效果;學習成就初 始狀態對學生教育抱負成長速率也有顯著正向的影響效果。
The objective of this study was to explore the relationship between the educational aspirations of students and their learning achievements. Structural equation modeling with cross-lagged panel modeling and latent growth curve modeling were used to analyze the core panel sample (n = 1,651) data of the Taiwan Education Panel Survey (TEPS) in 2001, 2003, 2005, and 2007. Results of this study show that the cross-lagged effect of the educational aspirations of students predicting their subsequent learning achievements was statistically significant, and the crosslagged effect of learning achievements predicting their subsequent educational aspirations was also statistically significant. Moreover, the correlation between the initial status and the growth rate of the educational aspirations of students was positive; the correlation between the initial status and the growth rate of learning achievements was also positive. Additionally, the initial status of the educational aspirations of students positively predicted the growth rate of learning achievements, and the initial status of learning achievements positively predicted the growth rate of the educational aspirations of students.